LINE

Text:AAAPrint
Economy

Pork prices propel rise in inflation(2)

1
2015-08-10 08:46China Daily Editor: Si Huan

Deflation in nonfood sectors, caused by subdued commodity prices, industrial overcapacity and weak demand, may signal continuing difficulty in the nation's economic growth in the second half of the year, economists said.

Some of them predict that deflation may cause GDP growth to fall below the government's 2015 target of 7 percent year-on-year.

This target was just achieved in the first half, but economists also speculate that, due to food-driven consumer inflation, policymakers may hesitate on further monetary easing.

Zhao Yang, chief China economist at Nomura Securities, said that fueling growth, or fighting industrial deflation, should be the government's priority. "It is a more important task than controlling consumer inflation.

"The government will have to spend more on building public infrastructure to sustain growth," he said, and this would be more effective than simply enlarging the credit supply.

Wang Tao, chief China economist at UBS AG, said the People's Bank of China-the central bank-would try to maintain "an accommodative monetary environment" in order to inject more money into the real economy.

"But we don't see a pork-driven rebound in the CPI as an upcoming impediment to monetary easing, as the sluggish economy in general will likely prevent any undesirable surge in inflation," she said.

"Indeed, a modest degree of reflation at this stage would likely be welcomed to dispel deflationary pressures and stabilize China's debt cycle."

Government data also show that last month China's exports suffered a surprising net fall of 8.3 percent year-on-year.

The National Bureau of Statistics plans to release other major economic indicators on Wednesday, and economists are predicting a continued slide in real estate development and industrial output.

  

Related news

MorePhoto

Most popular in 24h

MoreTop news

MoreVideo

News
Politics
Business
Society
Culture
Military
Sci-tech
Entertainment
Sports
Odd
Features
Biz
Economy
Travel
Travel News
Travel Types
Events
Food
Hotel
Bar & Club
Architecture
Gallery
Photo
CNS Photo
Video
Video
Learning Chinese
Learn About China
Social Chinese
Business Chinese
Buzz Words
Bilingual
Resources
ECNS Wire
Special Coverage
Infographics
Voices
LINE
Back to top Links | About Us | Jobs | Contact Us | Privacy Policy
Copyright ©1999-2018 Chinanews.com. All rights reserved.
Reproduction in whole or in part without permission is prohibited.