This aerial photo taken on March 29, 2016 shows a view of the free trade zone in Shanghai, east China. China's GDP stood at 15.9 trillion RMB yuan (2.4 trillion U.S. dollars) in the first quarter this year, growing up by 6.7 percent year on year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on April 15, 2016. (Photo: Xinhua/Ding Ting)
China's economy will grow by around 6.7 percent in the second quarter of 2016, on a par with that recorded in the first quarter, a leading think tank said in a report Monday.
The State Information Center, an institution affiliated with the National Development and Reform Commission, predicted that with infrastructure investment and the real estate sector gaining steam, the Chinese economy is likely to stabilize in the next six months.
The country's GDP grew 6.7 percent year on year in the first quarter. The growth further narrowed from the previous quarter's 6.8 percent, which was already the lowest quarterly rate since the global financial crisis.
The State Information Center said indicators including output of cars and crude steel, power generation and industrial value-added have shown the economy beginning to stabilize.
The government will spend 1.2 trillion yuan (187.5 million U.S. dollars) on infrastructure this year, and that will attract further investment worth 6 trillion yuan, according to the report.
Meanwhile, land and housing sales continue to increase. Although the property inventory is still excessive, the report sees real estate investment picking up in the short-run.
The State Information Center singled out the service sector as a bright spot. With consumer spending on leisure, healthcare and information services increasing, the service sector should expand at around 7.5 percent in the second quarter, it said.
While consumer demand is stabilizing, slower income growth and the lackluster job market cast a long shadow. The report estimated retail sales of consumer goods will grow by around 10.5 percent in April-June period.
The State Information Center foresees exports shrinking about 8 percent in the second quarter due to the underperforming global economy, rising production costs and a stronger Chinese currency.
The decline in imports is likely to narrow to about 10 percent as global commodity prices begin to rebound.
The report warned that aggregate supply outweighs demand. Excessive industrial capacity and inadequate private investment still pose challenges to the economy.
