Executives say tariffs will boost prices
2019-06-24 14:35:09 China Daily Li Yan
New duties by Washington target consumer goods
United States companies, from toymakers to fireworks dealers, are pleading to exempt certain items from the proposed new tariffs on Chinese imports, while officials are trying to ensure that alternative sources of supplies exist outside China.
That is what is taking place at the U.S. International Trade Commission in Washington, where at least 300 businesses and industrial groups have converged to testify in seven days of hearings since June 17 on the planned 25 percent duties to be levied on an additional $300 billion worth of Chinese goods.
Executives and industrial leaders told officials that China is an indispensable and almost irreplaceable partner in the global market.
However, to their disappointment, they are likely to fail in their pleas as analysts warned that most of the businesses' urgings would probably fall on deaf ears.
As of Thursday, the U.S. Trade Representative had received 2,714 written comments from companies, trade groups and individuals.
Most of them are lamenting that the plan to impose additional tariffs on nearly all Chinese imports would lead to higher prices for consumers, disrupt supply chains and potentially ruin businesses.
While in the first two rounds of up to 25 percent tariffs on Chinese products - $50 billion levied earlier last year and $200 billion kicked in early this month - have shielded consumers by largely targeting advanced goods and components, the new threatened duties have increasingly included consumer products.
To get an appreciation of how extensive and broad the target list is, some business representatives said at the hearings that they were "surprised" that some of their items, already spared from the administration's previous tariffs on Chinese goods, are targeted again.
The USTR office has said that product exclusions it granted on prior tranches wouldn't be affected.
Stephen Knerly, a lawyer for Association of Art Museum Directors, said AAMD opposed the proposed imposition of a 25 percent tariff on works of art of Chinese origin, including paintings, drawings, collectibles and antiques.
Nobody wants to spend 25 percent more for the same object, especially when they're bidding at auction, Knerly said, pointing to the impact of tariffs on one of the U.S.'s major sources of art works.
"The AAMD was surprised to see Chinese-origin artworks listed in the proposed tariff, as they were excluded from the prior 10 percent tariff," Knerly said. "The AAMD hopes that the inclusion of the art categories is simply a mistake, a mistake that will be rectified before tariffs are imposed."
Some children's products, including car seats, exempted from previous rounds of tariff escalation, were also put back into the new proposed tranche, a move that was opposed by companies like Baby Trend Inc at the hearing on June 17.
Bradley Mattarocci, vice-president of the California-based child-safety product maker, which imports from China, also testified at the hearing that adjusting the supply chain to offset the impact of the proposed tariff from the company's "well-established, mature suppliers" would require significant changes.
"Those changes would be very costly, disruptive, take years in some cases and create untenable new safety and quality risks," he said. "They would also be impractical and, in some cases, not possible at all."
The U.S. administration has held that if companies don't like tariffs, they should relocate manufacturing back to the United States. But even companies that are solely manufacturing in the U.S. said they need Chinese supplies. Some are planning to shift production to China.
Monica Gorman, vice-president of footwear maker New Balance, the only major athletic footwear company to maintain manufacturing in the U.S. for more than 75 years, said the company "must use some imported components from China" to stay competitive.
"I want to stress that we use imported components from China to sustain the scale of our U.S. footwear manufacturing that keeps 1,600 people fully employed," she said.
"We have undertaken significant effort to redirect sourcing to non-Chinese suppliers wherever possible, but these supply chains take a minimum of 18 months to redirect and in some cases cannot be fully recreated outside of China," Gorman said.
On June 19, Harley-Davidson Inc, the iconic U.S. motorcycle maker based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, announced that it will team with Qianjiang Motorcycle Co in China's Zhejiang province to manufacture a "smaller, more accessible" Harley motorcycle that will eventually target sales in the Asian market.
At the hearings in Washington, witnesses told officials they have few alternatives other than China to produce exactly what consumers want.
At a hearing that afternoon, an official from the State Department challenged Jean Kolloff, founder and owner of cashmere maker Quinn Apparel Inc, as to why her company wouldn't source from Mongolia but from China.
Kolloff said cashmere is farmed exclusively in Inner Mongolia from the Alashan breed of goat, which only thrives in that region and is considered "the gold of China".
"Due to the special nature of cashmere yarn and its origins, our sourcing requirements dictated China importation," she said. "We've searched for similar species of goat in an attempt to copy the hair from this animal in other countries or even domestically, but to no avail."
The sweater industry in the U.S. has long ago departed to Asia, and it would be "prohibitively expensive" and would take years to restart production in the U.S., she said, praising Chinese firms "the most adept and cost-effective suppliers" of cashmere apparel.
"As a seasoned apparel merchant and executive who has built businesses, I believe a trade war will erode global confidence and lead to a recession," she told a panel of U.S. trade officials from USTR, the Commerce and Treasury departments and other federal agencies. "It is my hope reason will prevail and the proposed tariffs will not go into effect."
Jennifer Cleary, vice-president of Regulatory Affairs at the Association of Home Appliance Manufacturers, said at another hearing that building new supply chains isn't an easy task.
"For many of the products in our scope it could take over five years to select new suppliers, if it is even possible to do so," she said in testimony. "This is due to various compliance and safety considerations among other factors."
Jason Bonfig, the chief merchandising officer at Best Buy, a U.S. retailer of consumer electronics and manufacturer of private label electronics, said China accounts for the "majority share" of consumer electronics sold in the U.S. last year.
He sought exemption from additional tariffs for six categories of consumer electronics, including smartphones, laptop computers and tablets, computer monitors, smart watches and gaming consoles.
Manufacturing of these products is relatively complex to move and requires significant time and expense as well, Bonfig said.
"In many leading products, there is no practical substitute made outside of China in the near term," he added.
The choice is further constrained by the lack of key resources, port capacity and other infrastructure in alternative countries, he said in the testimony.
"It will not result in any additional benefit for the U.S. in the context of the Section 301 trade action and will only serve to maximize the pain on the U.S. consumer, workers, businesses, and the economy at large with minimal impact to China," Bonfig said.
While witnesses have given the U.S. administration an earful about the pain tariffs could inflict on U.S. businesses and consumers, several analysts with Washington think tanks said they may not get what they want.
"President Trump has made his liking for tariffs crystal clear as a weapon in trade and other conflicts," Douglas H. Paal, vice-president of the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told China Daily. "It discourages hope."
Simon Lester, associate director of Herbert A. Stiefel Center for Trade Policy Studies at the Cato Institute, another think tank in Washington, also said the president has made his support for tariffs very clear, and people don't see much hope that many of the tariffs can be avoided.
Gary Hufbauer, a senior fellow and trade expert at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, said the president sees political advantage in playing the role of "tough deal maker" and he sees no political advantage in acceding to business pleas, no matter how strong.
However, there is risk of a global recession if the threat of a new round of tariffs on Chinese imports is followed through, he said.
"For sure, that would slow the U.S. economy and hurt the stock market. Those are the reasons he (the president) is very unlikely to follow through. But criticisms from business firms will not hurt his re-election bid," Hufbauer told China Daily.
On June 18, the second day into the tariffs hearings, Trump tweeted that he would meet Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the upcoming G20 Leaders' Summit in Osaka, Japan, next week. The two sides are expected to discuss in-depth bilateral ties and issues of common concern, according to a statement from the Chinese Foreign Ministry.
Several participants at the hearings expressed cautious optimism about the outcome from the summit.
"I hope President Trump and President Xi could find some common grounds. And I hope they can find a way not only to not impose new tariffs, but also remove the imposed tariffs that have been in effect," Bryan Riley, director of National Taxpayers Union Foundation's Free Trade Initiative, said on June 21. "That's the best scenario."
David F. Snyder, vice-president of International Policy of American Property Casualty Insurance Association, also said that for the G20 negotiation, "we hope what comes out is an improving relation between our two countries, the ability to work together in kinds of issues".
