(Picture: SHI YU/CHINA DAILY)
China plans to vaccinate 40 percent of its population by June, with its vaccine capacity reaching 2.1 billion doses by the end of 2021, Chinese medical experts told their counterparts in the United States during a virtual forum that underscored the need for the two countries to cooperate in fighting the COVID-19 pandemic.
As of Sunday, China had administered 52.52 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines, inoculating 3.56 percent of the population. That ratio is expected to rise to 40 percent by the end of June, Zhong Nanshan, head of a high-level expert group of China's National Health Commission, said at the forum on Monday. The forum was hosted by the Brookings Institution and Tsinghua University.
Mutations of the COVID-19 virus will decrease the effectiveness of vaccination and also decrease the effectiveness of antibody treatments, according to Zhong, a renowned respiratory expert.
"The key point is for the world to receive vaccines as soon as possible. The longer until you receive vaccines, the more mutation of the virus," Zhong said.
This will make it all the more important for the world to speed up vaccine production and prepare some new types of vaccines that are sensitive to the variants of the virus, an effort that calls for China and the U.S. to cooperate, Zhong said.
Zhang Wenhong, director of the Department of Infectious Disease at Huashan Hospital of Fudan University in Shanghai, said the current vaccination pace is "really low" in China because the outbreak control was "so good in China in the early stage".
But China's vaccine-production capacity warrants no concern, since the country is well able to produce 2.1 billion doses by the end of 2021, Zhang said.
However, global vaccination is currently highly unbalanced, as full vaccine coverage can be achieved only in the U.S., Europe and a few other countries such as China and Russia, he told the forum.
Zhang said that historically, a pandemic has required global collaboration that transcends politics, and that China and the U.S. as major vaccine producers have the responsibility to implement their own vaccination strategies and also to help with mass immunization in the rest of the world.
"We should not just take into account the vaccination by ourselves. We should have taken into account the vaccination of less-developed countries," he said.
John Allen, president of the Washington-based Brookings Institution, said the U.S. and China have a long history of "constructive and productive collaboration" to combat diseases, including SARS in 2003, the H1N1 influenza virus in 2009 and Ebola in 2015.
"If China and the United States joined forces to fight COVID-19, the world will have a better chance to emerge from the pandemic stronger," he said. "But if these two great countries fail to take action together, the world will in turn become weaker and more divided."
Thomas Frieden, former director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said vaccine nationalism will backfire, and only global collaboration against the virus can lead to global recovery.
"We're all in this together. The only enemy here is a virus, and the more we are united, the more effectively we will be able to fight that virus," Frieden said. "This is the world's moment to work together, and the U.S. and China have a unique role to play."
As the peak of the pandemic has passed, the future direction of the epidemic will depend on a combination of three factors: public health measures, vaccination coverage, and how enduring the protection provided by vaccines proves to be, according to Wu Zunyou, chief epidemiologist of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.
Gao Fu, director of the Chinese CDC, said he expected an "approximate normal" by summer next year. Gao called for the U.S. and China to work together to boost the COVID-19 Vaccine Global Access initiative and promote vaccine equity.
Xue Lan, a nonresident senior fellow of foreign policy at the Brookings Institution's John L. Thornton China Center, also said there's an urgent need for the global community, particularly the U.S. and China, to join forces to stop the pandemic.
"With addressing COVID-19 the top priority for leaders in both Washington and Beijing, it is a critical time for collaboration," Xue told the forum.
