China, the world's biggest smartphone market, will likely ship more than 450 million devices in 2014, at least a quarter more than this year, research firm IDC said Tuesday.
IDC said the increase will be driven by the government's issuance of 4G licenses and expectations that China Mobile Ltd, the world's biggest wireless operator by number of subscribers, would carry iPhones by then.
Smartphone shipments are expected to reach 360 million this year, IDC said.
China, whose smartphone market is dominated by Samsung Electronics Co Ltd and Lenovo Group Ltd, is expected to ship 120 million 4G-enabled smartphones to meet demand for Internet connectivity.
In the second quarter, Samsung and Lenovo maintained their lead in China with market shares of 18.5 percent and 9.8 percent respectively, while China Wireless Technologies Ltd's Coolpad moved up a notch from the previous quarter to rank No.3.
Apple Inc's iPhones saw its market share and ranking fall to 5 percent and No.6 in the second quarter, from 9 percent and No.5 a quarter ago, IDC analysts said. The US technology giant's market share usually slips a quarter or two before its next product launch.
"Affected by the sluggish sales of iPhone 5, Apple's market share has declined dramatically, but its performance is expected to remarkably improve with the launch of the new iPhone," James Yan, an IDC analyst, said in a statement.
Apple unveiled two new smartphone models, the iPhone 5S and a less expensive 5C, in China just hours after their US launch.
Apple sold 9 million new iPhones worldwide, including China, during the first three days in stores.
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