The key to predicting China's diplomacy lies in realizing the country's firm adherence to the path of peaceful development. Today's China has greater strength to stick to this path, and any country that fails to take China's adherence seriously is bound to make wrong predictions.
The image and economy of the United States have declined over the past 10 years since it launched the Iraq War, while China has maintained rapid growth and walked to the center of the international stage as the world's second largest economy. It is easy to imagine how the two countries' distinctly different experiences will go down in history.
Paying attention to the strategic interaction between the two major powers on the two sides of the Pacific is conducive to grasping international changes in the past and future, but it should be noted that China has its own development path, and has never been under the shadow of U.S. strategies. Its strategic opportunity period is not granted by the United States, or created by loopholes.
Before the 9/11 attacks, Bush administration had indeed planned to increase containment of China, and said that it would make clear its stance on the Taiwan issue, which greatly damaged China-U.S. relations.
China embarked on the path of peaceful development long ago. The painful experiences brought about by war and poverty in the last century have made Chinese people realize the great value of peace and urgency of development. While pursuing its own peaceful development, China has been committed to safeguarding world peace and promoting the common development and prosperity of all countries. The path of peaceful development suits China's national conditions and the theme of the times. It has been a long-term policy from the very beginning, and will not be affected by external forces.
It can be concluded that even if George W. Bush increased containment of China in economy and other fields at the time, China would continue to adhere to the path of peaceful development.
The war on terror has forced the United States to pay more attention to its relations with other major powers such as China. China-U.S. relations have since improved, and the two countries have established stable coordination mechanisms in many fields. This has consolidated the general upward trend of their bilateral relations, and laid a solid foundation for the establishment of a new type of great power relations between the two countries. They have made concerted efforts to create a win-win situation.
Now, 10 years after the Iraq War started, the United States is shifting its strategic focus eastward, leading to growing tensions around China. Frequent disputes have occurred in the South China Sea and East China Sea, and North Korea's nuclear test has further increased tensions in East Asia. Under such circumstances, other countries have made various predictions on China's diplomacy.
The key to predicting China's diplomacy lies in realizing the country's firm adherence to the path of peaceful development. China will not change its strategic choice simply because of external changes, and will try its best to remove obstacles to peaceful development and play a more active role in handling international affairs as a responsible major power. Today's China has greater strength to stick to this path, and any country that fails to take China's adherence seriously is bound to make wrong predictions.
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